نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 گروه مدیریت مالی، واحد کرج، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، کرج، ایران.

2 گروه مدیریت بازرگانی، واحد تنکابن، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تنکابن، ایران.

3 گروه مدیریت مالی، موسسه آموزش طبرستان، چالوس، ایران.

چکیده

رشد فزاینده تسهیلات غیر جاری بانکی و افزایش سهم آن در قیاس با وام‎‌‌های پرداختی و مهم‌تر این‌که افزایش سهم مطالبات مشکوک الوصول وام‎‌‌ها، تسهیلات غیر جاری را به یکی از تهدیدهای جدی بانک‌‎ها و موسسات اعتباری تبدیل نموده است. پژوهش حاضر با­توجه به وضعیت موجود در بانک‌‎های ایرانی به بررسی تاثیر تسهیلات غیر جاری بر رفتار وام‎‌دهی بانک‌‎های موجود در بازار سرمایه ایران پرداخته است. جهت دستیابی به این هدف 14 بانک به‌­عنوان نمونه آماری برای دوره زمانی 1394 الی 1401 انتخاب شد. برای تجزیه‌­و­تحلیل داده‌‎ها از مدل تحلیل رگرسیون استفاده شده است که نتایج بیانگر آن است که نرخ تسهیلات غیر جاری و تغییرات در تسهیلات غیر جاری بر وام‎‌دهی بانک‌‎ها تاثیر منفی و معناداری دارد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Analysis of lending behavior of banks in Tehran capital market under non-performing loans

نویسندگان [English]

  • Kaveh Kaviani 1
  • Mahdi Kaviani 2
  • Mohammad Arfaie 3

1 Department of Financial Management, Karaj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Karaj, Iran.

2 Department of Business Management, Tonkabon Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tonkabon, Iran.

3 Department of Financial Management, Tabarestan Education Institute, Chalus, Iran.

چکیده [English]

The increasing growth of non-performing loans (NPLs) and the increase of their share in comparison to paid loans, and more importantly, the increase in the share of doubtful loan claims, have turned NPLs into one of the serious threats to banks and credit institutions. Considering the current situation in Iranian banks, the present study has investigated the effect of NPLs on the lending behavior of banks in the capital market of Iran. In order to achieve this goal, 14 banks were selected as a statistical sample for the period of 2014 to 2022. A regression analysis model was used to analyze the data, and the results show that the rate of NPLs and changes in NPLs have a negative and significant effect on bank lending.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Non-performing loans
  • Lending
  • Bank
[1]   European Banking Authority. (2016). Dynamics and drivers of non-performing exposures in the EU banking sector. https://www.eba.europa.eu/documents/10180/1360107/EBA+Report+on+NPLs.pdf
[2]   European Systemic Risk Board. (2017). Resolving non-performing loans in Europe. https://www.esrb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/reports/20170711_resolving_npl_report.en.pdf
[3]   Beck, R., Jakubik, P., & Piloiu, A. (2015). Key determinants of non-performing loans: new evidence from a global sample. Open economies review, 26, 525–550.
[4]   Balgova, M., Plekhanov, A., & Skrzypinska, M. (2017). Reducing non-performing loans: stylized facts and economic impact. American economic association 2018 annual meeting: non-performing loans: causes, effects and remedies (pp. 1-36). American Economic Association. https://mariabalgova.github.io/Balgova_Plekhanov_SkrzypinskaNPL2.pdf
[5]   Aiyar, M. S., Bergthaler, M. W., Garrido, J. M., Ilyina, M. A., Jobst, A., Kang, M. K. H., …, Moretti, M. M. (2015). A strategy for resolving Europe’s problem loans. International Monetary Fund.
[6]   Blattner, L., Farinha, L., & Rebelo, F. (2019). When losses turn into loans: The cost of undercapitalized banks. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3366998
[7]   Lu, W., & Whidbee, D. A. (2013). Bank structure and failure during the financial crisis. Journal of financial economic policy, 5(3), 281–299.
[8]   Bank of International Settlements. (2012). Annual report. https://www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/ar2012e.pdf
[9]   Suárez, J., & Sánchez Serrano, A. (2018). Approaching non-performing loans from a macroprudential angle. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3723327
[10] Serrano, A. S. (2021). The impact of non-performing loans on bank lending in Europe: An empirical analysis. The north american journal of economics and finance, 55, 101312. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2020.101312
[11] Huljak, I., Martin, R., Moccero, D., & Pancaro, C. (2022). Do non-performing loans matter for bank lending and the business cycle in euro area countries? Journal of applied economics, 25(1), 1050–1080.
[12] Marques, C., Martinho, R., & Silva, R. (2020). Non-performing loans and bank lending: Evidence for Portugal. Banco de portugal economic studies, 54-77. https://www.bportugal.pt/sites/default/files/anexos/papers/re202003_en.pdf
[13] Thornton, J., & Di Tommaso, C. (2021). The effect of non-performing loans on credit expansion: Do capital and profitability matter? Evidence from European banks. International journal of finance & economics, 26(3), 4822–4839.
[14] Ghaemi-Asl, M., Barati, S., & Ghorbani, A. (2020). Investigating the Impact of non-performing loans on banking lending behavior: implications for regulatory provisions to non-performing loans reductions in the Iranian Banking System in a Bayesian Analysis. Journal of Iranian Economic Issues, 6(2), 141–173. (In Persian). https://economics.ihcs.ac.ir/article_5431.html
[15] Sharif Sadi,  M., & Abasi Moslu, K. (2018). Investigating the impact of economic policy uncertainty and credit risk on the lending behavior of banks admitted to the tehran stock exchange. [presentation]. Second national conference on modern management studies in Iran. (In Persian). https://civilica.com/doc/855547/
[16] Mohamadi, T., Shakeri, A., Eskandari, F., & Karimi, D. (2017). Factors affecting the formation of non-current claims in the country’s banking system: a case study. Assembly and strategy, 89, 269–299. (In Persian). https://www.sid.ir/paper/224774/fa
[17] Mirza’i, E., Mohammadi, T., & Shakeri, A. (2016). The Interaction between Non-Performing Loans and Macroeconomic Conditions:A Panel Vector Autoregressive Approach. Economics research, 16(60), 183–220. (In Persian). https://joer.atu.ac.ir/article_4205.html?lang=en
[18] Shokri, S. K., & Garosi, S. (2015). Factors affect of Non performacing Loan in Iran. Financial economics, 9(31), 95–118. (In Persian). https://www.sid.ir/paper/229269/en